According to Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram the Chicago Cubs are hiring Texas Rangers' hitting coach Anthony Iapoce away from the team to take the same role with the Cubs.
Iapoce, 45, has been the hitting coach for the Rangers for three years overseeing an offense that ranked in the top half in the American League each year he was there, though they did fall off a bit in 2018.
In 2018 the Rangers ranked seventh in the American League in runs scored, eighth in home runs, fourth in walks, and 12th in total bases. Some concerning stats are that the Rangers were dead last in hits and second to last in batting average and strikeouts, but those really don't matter if they were still producing runs.
The move brings back a familiar face to the Cubs as Iapoce spent three years with the organization as special assistant to the GM overseeing the Cubs hitting program. During that tenure he oversaw current Cubs mainstays like Javier Baez, Kris Bryant, Kyle Schwarber, and Willson Contreras among others.
Overall it seems to be a refreshing change from Chili Davis's contact at all costs approach, as Iapoce will likely bring the focus back to hitting the crap out of the ball and giving launch angles the attention it deserves.
There are a lot of question marks surrounding the offense heading into 2019, but a good hitting coach will be able to recognize potential problems and fix them before they cripple a players ability.
Monday, October 15, 2018
Thursday, October 11, 2018
Cubs fire Chili Davis
After a disappointing season that saw the Cubs finish second in their division and lose the one game Wild Card playoff to the Colorado Rockies the Cubs have made their first change.
According to multiple reports on Twitter the Chicago Cubs have fired hitting coach Chili Davis after a season that was marred with offensive inconsistency.
Last week, I went into detail on the Cubs offensive struggles including their significant drop off in the second half, and especially in the final month of the season. Ultimately Davis was a gamble that didn't pay off, he was a highly respected coach that just couldn't get it done with this group of hitters.
It will be interesting to see what direction the Cubs move towards, their previous hitting coach John Mallee focused more on power at the expense of a higher strikeout rate, but Davis focused on contact with a lower strikeout rate at the expense of their power. It's easier said than done, but the Cubs should try to focus on a coach that will let the players be themselves and only make adjustments when it is hindering them from living up to their full potential.
For the rest of the coaching staff, Carrie Muskat tweeted that an announcement will come at a later date, but I wouldn't expect too many changes there.
According to multiple reports on Twitter the Chicago Cubs have fired hitting coach Chili Davis after a season that was marred with offensive inconsistency.
Last week, I went into detail on the Cubs offensive struggles including their significant drop off in the second half, and especially in the final month of the season. Ultimately Davis was a gamble that didn't pay off, he was a highly respected coach that just couldn't get it done with this group of hitters.
It will be interesting to see what direction the Cubs move towards, their previous hitting coach John Mallee focused more on power at the expense of a higher strikeout rate, but Davis focused on contact with a lower strikeout rate at the expense of their power. It's easier said than done, but the Cubs should try to focus on a coach that will let the players be themselves and only make adjustments when it is hindering them from living up to their full potential.
For the rest of the coaching staff, Carrie Muskat tweeted that an announcement will come at a later date, but I wouldn't expect too many changes there.
Wednesday, October 3, 2018
So what happened to the offense?
The 2018 Cubs season ended on a fitting note, three swinging strikeouts of Terrence Gore, Javier Baez, and Albert Almora Jr. It concluded a stretch of scoring 2 runs in 22 innings in the two biggest games of the season. It creates the biggest question mark for this off season. What happened to the offense, and what is the plan to fix it?
In the first half of the season it seemed like the Cubs offense was gonna keep doing their thing, they scored 476 runs in the first half which was good for first in the National League and fourth in all of baseball. They had the fifth highest walk rate and ninth lowest strikeout rate.Their only problem was a lack of power, but they were still getting on base and producing runs.
However, things fell apart in the second half for the Cubs, they scored just 285 runs in the second half, which ranked just 19th in all of baseball. Their walk rate dipped significantly along with a rise in their strikeout rate. Their power, which was already an issue in the first half, became even worse in the second half with just a .140 ISO which ranked 27th in all of baseball. Their overall wRC+ for the second half was 89, which means on average their offense was 11 percent worse than league average.
If you just go by Septembers numbers the Cubs got even worse, their walk rate dropped, their strikeout rate climbed, and their power somehow got even worse. Obviously it's easy to blame the 30 games in 30 days stretch, but when it comes to crunch time they just did not get the job done and now they will go home ending a stretch of three consecutive NLCS appearances.
A look at the Cubs plate discipline stats paint a grim picture, for the overall season the Cubs had the sixth highest outside swing percentage, 14th in zone swing percentage, 22nd in overall contact, and had the 10th most swinging strikes. Their numbers actually rank pretty similar to the 2017 team, but that's a problem when the Cubs changed their hitting philosophy for the 2018 season.
Of course it wasn't all bad for the Cubs. Javier Baez had a breakout season and is a legitimate MVP contender, Jason Heyward and Ben Zobrist both bounced back in a big way, and Anthony Rizzo came back from a terrible start to have another very good season.
The easy scapegoat for this is hitting coach Chili Davis, who was brought in after being fired by the Red Sox after a disappointing 2017 season. The Red Sox offense immediately improved in 2018 after adding JD Martinez, which is possible could be due to firing Davis, but it's also impossible to tell. It's possible that with velocity becoming an increasingly important factor in todays game, that Davis's prioritizing contact over power philosophy just doesn't work in todays game.
The Cubs brought Davis in to increase contact, but the problem is that it has come at the cost of the Cubs power and their ability to grind out at bats consistently throughout the game. The Cubs made Kyle Freeland throw just 82 pitches (60 strikes) in 6.2 innings, which seems to be the exact opposite mojo of the team that won the World Series in 2016.
The Cubs have some big decisions to make this off season and it should start with making a change at hitting coach and going after Nationals star OF Bryce Harper. It's clear that whatever the Cubs tried to do on offense this year did more harm than good, and signing a big time hitter like Harper could help jump start the offense and potentially lead to another ring for the North Side.
In the first half of the season it seemed like the Cubs offense was gonna keep doing their thing, they scored 476 runs in the first half which was good for first in the National League and fourth in all of baseball. They had the fifth highest walk rate and ninth lowest strikeout rate.Their only problem was a lack of power, but they were still getting on base and producing runs.
However, things fell apart in the second half for the Cubs, they scored just 285 runs in the second half, which ranked just 19th in all of baseball. Their walk rate dipped significantly along with a rise in their strikeout rate. Their power, which was already an issue in the first half, became even worse in the second half with just a .140 ISO which ranked 27th in all of baseball. Their overall wRC+ for the second half was 89, which means on average their offense was 11 percent worse than league average.
If you just go by Septembers numbers the Cubs got even worse, their walk rate dropped, their strikeout rate climbed, and their power somehow got even worse. Obviously it's easy to blame the 30 games in 30 days stretch, but when it comes to crunch time they just did not get the job done and now they will go home ending a stretch of three consecutive NLCS appearances.
A look at the Cubs plate discipline stats paint a grim picture, for the overall season the Cubs had the sixth highest outside swing percentage, 14th in zone swing percentage, 22nd in overall contact, and had the 10th most swinging strikes. Their numbers actually rank pretty similar to the 2017 team, but that's a problem when the Cubs changed their hitting philosophy for the 2018 season.
Of course it wasn't all bad for the Cubs. Javier Baez had a breakout season and is a legitimate MVP contender, Jason Heyward and Ben Zobrist both bounced back in a big way, and Anthony Rizzo came back from a terrible start to have another very good season.
The easy scapegoat for this is hitting coach Chili Davis, who was brought in after being fired by the Red Sox after a disappointing 2017 season. The Red Sox offense immediately improved in 2018 after adding JD Martinez, which is possible could be due to firing Davis, but it's also impossible to tell. It's possible that with velocity becoming an increasingly important factor in todays game, that Davis's prioritizing contact over power philosophy just doesn't work in todays game.
The Cubs brought Davis in to increase contact, but the problem is that it has come at the cost of the Cubs power and their ability to grind out at bats consistently throughout the game. The Cubs made Kyle Freeland throw just 82 pitches (60 strikes) in 6.2 innings, which seems to be the exact opposite mojo of the team that won the World Series in 2016.
The Cubs have some big decisions to make this off season and it should start with making a change at hitting coach and going after Nationals star OF Bryce Harper. It's clear that whatever the Cubs tried to do on offense this year did more harm than good, and signing a big time hitter like Harper could help jump start the offense and potentially lead to another ring for the North Side.
Friday, August 3, 2018
Cubs place Brian Duensing on DL, recall Randy Rosario
Well the other day when I said Randy Rosario would most likely be back for September call ups, it turns out he would actually be back two days later. The team placed lefty reliever Brian Duensing on the DL and recalled Rosario to fill his role.
Duensing, who is suffering from back tightness, has been horrendous this season with a 7.34 ERA in 34.1 innings with 5 home runs and 26 walks to 22 strikeouts. His problem this year has been his command as hitters have an overall .276/.393/.440 line, which would be a solid season for any hitter. Duensing's numbers are a far cry from his excellent 2017 where he posted a 2.74 ERA in 62.1 innings. The Cubs have to hope Duensing will be able to turn it around as he is signed through 2019 at 3.5 million.
As I said the other day about Rosario, his actual results this season have been great, but the peripherals behind them suggest he has benefited from a ton of luck. It will be interesting if he will be able to keep his numbers going while Duensing is on the shelf
Duensing, who is suffering from back tightness, has been horrendous this season with a 7.34 ERA in 34.1 innings with 5 home runs and 26 walks to 22 strikeouts. His problem this year has been his command as hitters have an overall .276/.393/.440 line, which would be a solid season for any hitter. Duensing's numbers are a far cry from his excellent 2017 where he posted a 2.74 ERA in 62.1 innings. The Cubs have to hope Duensing will be able to turn it around as he is signed through 2019 at 3.5 million.
As I said the other day about Rosario, his actual results this season have been great, but the peripherals behind them suggest he has benefited from a ton of luck. It will be interesting if he will be able to keep his numbers going while Duensing is on the shelf
Wednesday, August 1, 2018
Cubs option Randy Rosario, add Brandon Kintzler
In order to make room for recently acquired reliever Brandon Kintzler the Cubs have optioned left handed reliever Randy Rosario to triple-A Iowa.
Rosario, 25, has been dominant in his 32 innings with the club with a 1.97 ERA and a .156/.283/.378 line against lefties. However, Rosario has been benefiting from some pretty extreme luck with a 4.91 xFIP and a 93.6% left on base rate. He doesn't miss many bats, but also walks a lot of batters which is never a good combination. Rosario will most likely be back with the team for September call ups, if not sooner.
The Cubs bullpen has been the biggest bright spot of the pitching staff with a 3.21 ERA that ranks 4th in Major League Baseball behind the Yankees, Diamondbacks, and Astros. Collectively they have walked the 3rd most batters in the MLB, but an excellent defense and an ability to limit opponents power has helped limit the damage.
Rosario, 25, has been dominant in his 32 innings with the club with a 1.97 ERA and a .156/.283/.378 line against lefties. However, Rosario has been benefiting from some pretty extreme luck with a 4.91 xFIP and a 93.6% left on base rate. He doesn't miss many bats, but also walks a lot of batters which is never a good combination. Rosario will most likely be back with the team for September call ups, if not sooner.
The Cubs bullpen has been the biggest bright spot of the pitching staff with a 3.21 ERA that ranks 4th in Major League Baseball behind the Yankees, Diamondbacks, and Astros. Collectively they have walked the 3rd most batters in the MLB, but an excellent defense and an ability to limit opponents power has helped limit the damage.
Cubs minor league recap: 7/31/2018
Class-A Myrtle Beach 10-7 victory over Down East Wood Ducks
Notable performers:
DJ Wilson 2-4 with 2 runs
Andruw Monasterio 3-5 with a grand slam
Jared Young 1-2 with a home run and a walk
Wladmir Galindo 2-4 with 2 doubles
Manuel Rendon 2.2 IP 1 H 2 BB 2 SO
Class-A South Bend 5-6 loss against the Western Michigan Whitecaps
Notable performers:
Zach Davis 3-5 with a double
Miguel Amaya 2-4 with an RBI and a walk
Austin Filiere 3-4 with a walk and a run
Chris Donahue 2-4 with a double and 2 RBI
Erling Moreno 7.1 IP 8 H 6 R 3 ER 0 BB 5 SO
Low-A Eugene 3-6 loss to the Vancouver Canadiens
Notable performers:
Levi Jordan 2-4 with a run
Nelson Velazquez 2-4 with a home run
Jonathan Sierra 2-4
Sean Barry 2 IP 0 H 0 ER 0 BB 2 SO
DSL Cubs2 4-5 loss to the DSL Phillies White
Notable performers:
Pedro Martinez 1-2 with an RBI and a run
Miguel Fabrizio 1-4 with a double and RBI
Edward Vasquez 2 IP 0 H 0 ER 3 BB 2 SO
DSL Cubs1 5-0 victory over the DSL Indians/Brewers
Notable performers:
Rochest Cruz 2-3 with a walk and 4 steals
Jonathan Rodriguez 1-4 with a three-run home run
Josue Fernandez 1-2 with a triple and a walk
Andy Hernandez 5 IP 3 H 0 ER 1 BB 5 SO
AZL Cubs 8-3 victory over the AZL Mariners
Notable performers:
Christopher Morel 3-5 with 2 doubles and an RBI
Jonathan Soto 3-5 with a home run
Yovanny Cuevas 1-3 with 2 walks
Rafael Mejia 4-4 with a double and a walk
Dalton Hurd 2-4 with 2 RBI
Peyton Remy 4.2 IP 5 H 2 ER 2 BB 4 SO
Notable performers:
DJ Wilson 2-4 with 2 runs
Andruw Monasterio 3-5 with a grand slam
Jared Young 1-2 with a home run and a walk
Wladmir Galindo 2-4 with 2 doubles
Manuel Rendon 2.2 IP 1 H 2 BB 2 SO
Class-A South Bend 5-6 loss against the Western Michigan Whitecaps
Notable performers:
Zach Davis 3-5 with a double
Miguel Amaya 2-4 with an RBI and a walk
Austin Filiere 3-4 with a walk and a run
Chris Donahue 2-4 with a double and 2 RBI
Erling Moreno 7.1 IP 8 H 6 R 3 ER 0 BB 5 SO
Low-A Eugene 3-6 loss to the Vancouver Canadiens
Notable performers:
Levi Jordan 2-4 with a run
Nelson Velazquez 2-4 with a home run
Jonathan Sierra 2-4
Sean Barry 2 IP 0 H 0 ER 0 BB 2 SO
DSL Cubs2 4-5 loss to the DSL Phillies White
Notable performers:
Pedro Martinez 1-2 with an RBI and a run
Miguel Fabrizio 1-4 with a double and RBI
Edward Vasquez 2 IP 0 H 0 ER 3 BB 2 SO
DSL Cubs1 5-0 victory over the DSL Indians/Brewers
Notable performers:
Rochest Cruz 2-3 with a walk and 4 steals
Jonathan Rodriguez 1-4 with a three-run home run
Josue Fernandez 1-2 with a triple and a walk
Andy Hernandez 5 IP 3 H 0 ER 1 BB 5 SO
AZL Cubs 8-3 victory over the AZL Mariners
Notable performers:
Christopher Morel 3-5 with 2 doubles and an RBI
Jonathan Soto 3-5 with a home run
Yovanny Cuevas 1-3 with 2 walks
Rafael Mejia 4-4 with a double and a walk
Dalton Hurd 2-4 with 2 RBI
Peyton Remy 4.2 IP 5 H 2 ER 2 BB 4 SO
Tuesday, July 31, 2018
Cubs acquire Brandon Kintzler from Nationals
With the clock ticking towards the trade deadline the Cubs have made another addition to their pitching staff as they have traded for right-handed reliever Brandon Kintzler according to Jon Morosi of MLB Network (on Twitter). In return, the Cubs send 23-year old RHP Jhon Romero to the Nationals according to Cubs beat writer Carrie Muskat (on Twitter).
Kintzler, 33, has had a solid season for the Nationals with a 3.59 ERA 42.2 innings pitched. Primarily a ground ball pitcher, Kintzler relies on a sinker to get outs throwing it 75% of the time which could allow him to thrive with the Cubs defense behind him.
Romero was having a solid season for the Myrtle Beach Pelicans with a 3.27 ERA and a 57-17 K-BB ratio. It's a reasonable return for the Nationals as relievers like Romero are ultimately a dime a dozen especially in this level of the minor leagues.
Kintzler has suffered from much harder contact against him as his line drive rate (28.1%) is much higher than his career norm (23.7%), and is partially to blame for a sharp 8 percent decrease in his ground ball rate. A cause for this may be both his sinker and slider dropping a tick from his excellent 2017 and with bullpens becoming more reliant on velocity that was something he couldn't afford to lose.
It's worth noting that Kintzler has a mutual option for 2019 that starts off as a 2019 team option for 10 million, but if that's declined than it turns into a 5 million player option that is likely to be executed.
This marks the third and most likely final acquisition by the Cubs to a pitching staff that was in need of some serious reinforcements after a shaky first half. Cole Hamels was added to boost their shaky rotation, Jesse Chavez and now Kinzler will boost an already solid Cubs bullpen.
Kintzler, 33, has had a solid season for the Nationals with a 3.59 ERA 42.2 innings pitched. Primarily a ground ball pitcher, Kintzler relies on a sinker to get outs throwing it 75% of the time which could allow him to thrive with the Cubs defense behind him.
Romero was having a solid season for the Myrtle Beach Pelicans with a 3.27 ERA and a 57-17 K-BB ratio. It's a reasonable return for the Nationals as relievers like Romero are ultimately a dime a dozen especially in this level of the minor leagues.
Kintzler has suffered from much harder contact against him as his line drive rate (28.1%) is much higher than his career norm (23.7%), and is partially to blame for a sharp 8 percent decrease in his ground ball rate. A cause for this may be both his sinker and slider dropping a tick from his excellent 2017 and with bullpens becoming more reliant on velocity that was something he couldn't afford to lose.
It's worth noting that Kintzler has a mutual option for 2019 that starts off as a 2019 team option for 10 million, but if that's declined than it turns into a 5 million player option that is likely to be executed.
This marks the third and most likely final acquisition by the Cubs to a pitching staff that was in need of some serious reinforcements after a shaky first half. Cole Hamels was added to boost their shaky rotation, Jesse Chavez and now Kinzler will boost an already solid Cubs bullpen.
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